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Texas Changed Hands. But Who Actually Holds the Power?

By Nicholas Molinelli

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PoliticsAnalysis
Texas Changed Hands. But Who Actually Holds the Power?

Democrats won the governor's office, flipped the Texas House and swept statewide judicial races. Here's who the incoming officials are, what they've promised, and what could change for Texans when the new government takes office.

Texans elected a different government Tuesday. What they did not elect was a government in which everyone agrees. After more than three decades of Republican dominance in statewide elections, Democrats captured the governor's office, the lieutenant governor's office, the attorney general's office and every other contested statewide executive position. They also won control of the Texas House for the first time since 2002.

The transformation extended to the judiciary, where Democratic candidates led in every statewide court race, ending the Republican Party's uninterrupted hold on both of Texas' highest courts.

It was an extraordinary redistribution of political power. But the election did not place every institution in Democratic hands.

Republicans retained control of the Texas Senate. They are positioned to maintain narrow majorities on both the Texas Supreme Court and the Court of Criminal Appeals. And many of the incoming officials will take office with powers considerably more limited than their campaign promises might suggest.

For Texans who haven't followed every race, the question is no longer simply who won.

Who are these people, what do they intend to do, and how much authority will they actually have to do it?

The answers could shape the next several years of public education, state spending, healthcare, energy development, government litigation and the interpretation of Texas law.

The Texas House Flipped. The Legislature Didn't.

For nearly a quarter-century, Republicans controlled the Texas House of Representatives.

That changed Tuesday.

Democrats entered the election with 62 of the chamber's 150 seats. They needed a net gain of 14 to secure a majority. By Wednesday, they had won enough races to take control, with unofficial results pointing toward a possible 83–67 Democratic advantage if the remaining close races hold. The exact balance remains subject to final counting and canvassing, but the change in party control is established.

That gives Democrats the opportunity to elect the next speaker of the House, organize committees, determine legislative priorities and control which proposals advance through the chamber. It also gives them the power to stop bills they oppose. That last point may prove especially important. For years, House Democrats frequently relied on procedural tactics, negotiations with Republicans and their limited influence over the legislative process to resist measures they opposed. With a majority, Democrats can decide whether legislation reaches the House floor in the first place.

But a majority in one chamber is not the same as control of the Legislature. Republicans retained the Texas Senate, which must approve the same legislation before a bill can reach the governor.

A Democratic House could pass a proposal to repeal the state's private-school voucher program, expand Medicaid or change abortion restrictions. Without Senate agreement, those measures would not become law through the ordinary legislative process. Republicans in the Senate face the same limitation. They can approve legislation, but the House can decline to advance it.

The next legislative session will therefore be shaped by negotiation, confrontation and the possibility of compromise.

The first major test may be leadership itself. House members must select a speaker, and that decision will help determine whether Democrats govern as a unified caucus or build broader coalitions with Republicans. The speaker has not yet been selected.

For Bell County, the statewide shift produced two different outcomes. Republican Brad Buckley retained his House District 54 seat, leading Democrat Dawn Richardson by 3,774 votes in the state's unofficial returns. In neighboring House District 55, Democrat Amelia Rabroker led Republican incumbent Hillary Hickland by just 419 votes. Buckley would return to a chamber with a new partisan majority. Rabroker, if her result holds through canvassing, would enter the Legislature as a member of that majority. Their districts will have representation on different sides of the political divide, even as both lawmakers confront many of the same questions about education, infrastructure and state spending.

Gina Hinojosa: The Next Governor

Gina Hinojosa's election ended the Republican Party's hold on the Texas governor's office, which began when George W. Bush defeated Ann Richards in 1994.

Hinojosa, a civil rights and labor attorney, former Austin school-board president and state representative, built much of her campaign around public education and the cost of living. She has pledged to increase teacher pay, change school accountability systems, end state takeovers of struggling school districts and replace Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath. She also opposes the state's new education savings account program, commonly known as private-school vouchers. On affordability, Hinojosa has proposed a one-time $1,500 payment to Texans from state savings and discussed emergency measures involving fuel taxes and electricity costs. Her campaign also raised concerns about the growing demand data centers place on water and electric infrastructure. Those proposals are not interchangeable with the powers of the governor's office. Hinojosa will have the authority to appoint officials, direct executive agencies within the law, call special legislative sessions and veto legislation.

She can exert substantial influence over state education leadership and administrative priorities. But she cannot unilaterally repeal the voucher statute or rewrite the Legislature's budget. Nor does declaring an emergency automatically give a governor unlimited authority to suspend taxes or control electricity rates.

Those questions involve existing statutes, regulatory authority and, potentially, the courts. Her ability to deliver her agenda will depend in significant part on whether she can reach agreements with a Republican-controlled Senate.

Vikki Goodwin: An Unexpected Role in the Republican Senate

Texans also elected Democrat Vikki Goodwin to replace Republican Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick.

Goodwin served in the Texas House, where she advocated increased public-school funding, higher teacher pay, expanded access to healthcare and investment in water infrastructure. Her campaign also called for changes to Texas' abortion restrictions, expanded Medicaid eligibility and a state-administered health coverage proposal.

In Texas, the lieutenant governor is far more than a ceremonial deputy to the governor. The office presides over the Senate, influences committee appointments and legislation, and has traditionally exercised substantial control over which proposals reach the chamber floor.

Patrick became one of the most powerful figures in Texas government by using that authority alongside a supportive Republican majority. Goodwin will face a different political arrangement. Although she will preside over the Senate, most senators will be Republicans. Senate rules are adopted by the senators themselves, and the Republican majority could seek to limit some of the powers Patrick exercised.

That makes Goodwin's election a significant institutional change without necessarily giving her control over the chamber's political direction. The question is whether she and the Republican majority will negotiate a governing arrangement or spend the session battling over the Senate's rules.

The Other Statewide Offices Texans May Have Overlooked

Not every important election involves a governor or a legislator. Several of Tuesday's most consequential victories were for offices whose responsibilities receive little attention outside election season.

Nathan Johnson — Attorney General

Nathan Johnson, a Dallas-area state senator, defeated Republican Mayes Middleton to become Texas' next attorney general.

Johnson has emphasized consumer protection, competition, government transparency and a return to the office's traditional legal responsibilities. He has also proposed reconsidering the state's approach to high-profile political litigation. The attorney general represents Texas in civil litigation, enforces numerous consumer-protection laws and oversees important services, including child-support enforcement.

Under Ken Paxton, the office became nationally prominent for its lawsuits involving federal policy, elections, immigration and other contested issues. Johnson could change which legal arguments the state advances, which cases it initiates and how the office allocates its resources.

He cannot simply erase court rulings or terminate every existing case without regard to legal obligations and judicial procedures. Nevertheless, the change in leadership could significantly alter Texas' relationship with the federal government and the state's position in ongoing legal disputes.

Sarah Eckhardt — Comptroller

Sarah Eckhardt, a former Travis County judge and state senator, defeated Republican Don Huffines.

Her campaign focused on financial oversight, government contracts and scrutiny of state spending. She has specifically pledged to audit the state's private-school voucher program. The comptroller's office collects state taxes, forecasts revenue, manages important fiscal operations and certifies that legislative appropriations can be supported by available revenue. It also administers the education savings account program.

That places Eckhardt at an important intersection of the incoming administration's fiscal and education priorities. But the comptroller does not independently decide how much money schools, highways or healthcare programs receive. Those appropriations are made by the Legislature.

Her ability to scrutinize voucher expenditures is different from possessing the authority to repeal the program.

Benjamin Flores — Land Commissioner

Benjamin Flores defeated Republican incumbent Dawn Buckingham to lead the Texas General Land Office.

A cybersecurity professional, Flores campaigned on public-school funding, disaster recovery, more affordable housing and changes to the management of state-owned land. The General Land Office manages substantial state land interests, coastal resources and disaster-recovery programs. Revenue from certain state lands helps support the Permanent School Fund.

Flores has proposed using state land arrangements to encourage housing development and has opposed the use of General Land Office property to advance certain immigration-enforcement projects. He has also expressed support for leasing state-owned land for data-center development under arrangements intended to reduce impacts on surrounding communities.

His authority will be substantial in land management and agency operations, but he cannot independently rewrite state housing or immigration laws.

Clayton Tucker — Agriculture Commissioner

Clayton Tucker defeated Republican Nate Sheets in the race to lead the Texas Department of Agriculture.

Tucker works on his family's ranch and has focused on preserving family farms, rebuilding agricultural cooperatives, supporting younger farmers and expanding opportunities for industrial hemp cultivation.

He also campaigned on concerns about data centers' water and energy demands in rural communities. The Agriculture Department administers agricultural programs, inspections, licensing and various consumer and producer services.

It is not a general land-use regulator.

Tucker can influence agricultural policy, direct agency programs and advocate for legislation. He cannot unilaterally prohibit data-center development across Texas.

That distinction may matter as rural communities confront increasing competition for land, water and energy resources.

Jon Rosenthal — Railroad Commissioner

Jon Rosenthal defeated Republican Bo French for a seat on the Texas Railroad Commission.

Despite its name, the commission does not regulate railroads. Its primary responsibilities involve oil and gas production, pipelines, natural gas facilities and related energy regulation.

Rosenthal, an oilfield mechanical engineer and former state representative, has emphasized stronger enforcement of existing regulations, plugging abandoned wells, reducing gas flaring and exploring alternative uses for nonproducing wells.

He has also proposed improving the commission's communication with residents and making enforcement information more accessible.

One critical limitation: Rosenthal won one seat on a three-member commission.

The election does not automatically place the entire agency under Democratic control. Major commission decisions will still require support from a majority of its members.

And the Railroad Commission is not the Public Utility Commission of Texas, which plays a central role in electricity regulation.

For Texans concerned about energy prices, reliability and industrial development, knowing which agency actually holds authority is essential.

James Talarico Is Going to Washington, Not Austin

James Talarico's defeat of Ken Paxton was one of the most prominent results of the election.

A former public-school teacher and state representative, Talarico campaigned on affordability, government accountability and reducing the influence of wealthy donors in politics.

His policy proposals include expanded childcare, a larger child tax credit, changes to tax policy, housing assistance, medical-debt relief and reforms intended to reduce healthcare costs.

But Talarico will serve in the United States Senate.

He will vote on federal legislation, presidential appointments and other matters within Congress' authority. He will not control the Texas Legislature or direct agencies in Austin.

That distinction matters because his election is politically significant for Texas without being a direct transfer of state executive power.

The Courts: The Biggest Changes Most Texans Didn't Notice

A governor can propose changes to public policy. Legislators can pass or reject laws.

Courts determine how those laws apply, whether government officials exceeded their authority and whether constitutional protections have been violated.

That makes Tuesday's judicial elections especially consequential.

For decades, Republicans dominated the two highest courts in Texas. This year, Democrats led in all seven contested seats across those courts.

But the result did not give Democrats a majority on either.

Texas also elected three Democrats to a separate statewide appellate court, the 15th Court of Appeals, where the change in control was complete.

Understanding why these developments matter begins with an unusual feature of Texas government.

Texas has two courts of last resort, not one.

Texas Supreme Court: Four New Democrats, a 5–4 Republican Majority

The Texas Supreme Court is the state's highest court for civil and juvenile matters.

Its work affects disputes over constitutional law, state agencies, businesses, property, family law and the limits of government authority.

Four of its nine seats were on Tuesday's ballot.

Democrats led all four.

Maggie Ellis — Chief Justice

Ellis is a justice on Austin's 3rd Court of Appeals and a former prosecutor, administrative law judge and attorney who worked extensively in juvenile and family law.

She has campaigned on expanding access to justice and reducing political influence in the judiciary.

Ellis criticized the Texas Supreme Court's guidance permitting judges to decline to perform same-sex marriage ceremonies based on sincerely held religious beliefs, describing the issue as one that helped motivate her campaign.

Her election would replace Republican Jimmy Blacklock as chief justice.

The chief justice has important administrative responsibilities, but does not possess a unilateral power to decide the court's cases.

Chari Kelly — Place 2

Kelly also serves on the 3rd Court of Appeals.

An Army veteran who served in the Judge Advocate General's Corps, she previously worked as a prosecutor, a defense attorney and a lawyer in the attorney general's Civil Medicaid Fraud unit.

She has described herself as committed to defending the Constitution.

Her legal background includes both criminal and civil matters, along with previous service at the Court of Criminal Appeals.

Kristen Hawkins — Place 7

Hawkins is a Harris County district judge with extensive experience in civil trial litigation.

She has overseen complex litigation, including proceedings involving the Astroworld tragedy.

Hawkins has emphasized the perspective of trial judges and the importance of preserving jury verdicts when appellate courts review cases.

That is a meaningful area of judicial philosophy: appellate judges regularly decide whether trial courts and juries committed errors requiring a judgment to be overturned.

Gisela Triana — Place 8

Triana serves on the 3rd Court of Appeals and previously spent more than two decades in judicial positions, including as a district judge, county court-at-law judge and justice of the peace.

During an earlier campaign for the Supreme Court, she criticized what she characterized as politically influenced decision-making and rulings involving evictions and debt collection during the COVID-19 pandemic.

She defeated Republican incumbent Brett Busby in the reported returns.

Together, the four incoming Democrats would transform an entirely Republican court into one divided five Republicans to four Democrats.

That does not make it a Democratic court.

A five-justice majority would still be available to the remaining Republicans if they vote together.

But a closely divided court can produce more competing opinions, closer scrutiny of legal arguments and potentially different coalitions in cases where justices disagree.

The court's composition matters. Its actual decisions will matter more.

Court of Criminal Appeals: Three Democratic Seats, a Republican Majority

Texas' other highest court is the Court of Criminal Appeals.

It handles criminal-law questions, including challenges to convictions, questions about trial procedures and direct appeals in death-penalty cases.

Three seats were contested.

Okey Anyiam — Place 3

Anyiam is a Dallas-area criminal defense attorney.

He has emphasized applying the law as written and respecting legislative intent rather than using the judiciary to create new policy.

That distinction is important because criminal appellate decisions often involve whether courts, prosecutors and law-enforcement agencies followed existing law.

Audra Riley — Place 4

Riley is a Dallas County criminal district judge and former prosecutor who has also worked in criminal defense.

Her experience includes presiding over felony cases and working on different sides of the criminal justice system.

She defeated Republican incumbent Kevin Patrick Yeary in the unofficial returns.

Holly Taylor — Place 9

Taylor is an appellate attorney and former prosecutor who previously led the public-integrity and complex-crimes division of the Travis County District Attorney's Office.

She has also worked for the Court of Criminal Appeals.

Taylor has emphasized judicial independence, constitutional protections and the rule of law.

If all three Democratic leads hold, Republicans will retain six of the court's nine seats.

That leaves Republicans with a clear majority, although Democrats will have a presence on the court for the first time in years.

The new judges' influence will depend on the legal questions presented, the positions of other members and how the court's majority decides to resolve those cases.

The 15th Court of Appeals: An Entire Court Changes Hands

The most dramatic judicial shift may have occurred on a court many Texans have never heard of.

The 15th Court of Appeals was created by the Legislature in 2023 and began operating in 2024.

Unlike most intermediate courts of appeals, which serve geographic districts, the 15th has statewide jurisdiction over specified civil cases involving the state, challenges involving state authority and appeals from the Texas Business Court.

Its responsibilities place it near disputes involving government power and significant commercial interests.

Republican Gov. Greg Abbott appointed the court's original three justices.

On Tuesday, voters selected Democrats for all three positions.

Jerry Zimmerer, a former justice on Houston's 14th Court of Appeals, led the race for chief justice. He has emphasized court efficiency and his experience in appellate law, technology and commercial disputes.

Tom Baker, a former 3rd Court of Appeals justice and Navy Judge Advocate General veteran, led the race for Place 2. He has argued that a judge's party affiliation should not determine the outcome of a case.

Marc Meyer, an attorney, registered nurse and former Houston firefighter and paramedic, led the race for Place 3. His campaign emphasized public service and the importance of an independent judiciary.

The result would replace all three original Republican appointees with Democratic judges.

Unlike the two highest courts, this is a complete change in partisan control.

That matters because the court hears cases directly involving actions by state government.

But even here, the limits are important.

The 15th Court is an intermediate appellate court, not the state's final authority. Its rulings may be reviewed by the Texas Supreme Court, which would retain its Republican majority.

A different panel of judges can influence how cases are decided.

It cannot guarantee that every dispute involving the state will end differently.

What Could Actually Change for Texans?

The election has altered the people who will make decisions. How those decisions affect daily life remains to be seen.

Public education may be one of the earliest battlegrounds.

Hinojosa has pledged to replace education leadership and seek changes to vouchers, school funding and state takeovers. A Democratic House could advance those priorities, and Comptroller-elect Eckhardt has promised greater scrutiny of voucher expenditures.

But major changes to existing statutes and appropriations still require cooperation with the Republican Senate.

The State Board of Education is another institution worth watching. Its members are elected by district, and the unofficial results indicate a substantially narrower Republican advantage if the outstanding leads hold. The board plays an important role in curriculum standards and textbook approval.

State spending and taxes will involve competing priorities.

A Democratic governor and House majority can propose significant changes, while a Democratic comptroller will estimate available revenue and oversee important fiscal operations.

Yet the state budget requires agreement between the House and Senate.

Campaign proposals involving checks to residents, tax relief or expanded services must ultimately be translated into lawful, funded legislation or authorized administrative actions.

Healthcare and abortion law could produce some of the deepest disagreements.

Goodwin and other Democrats campaigned on expanding healthcare coverage and changing abortion restrictions.

But those proposals will encounter a Republican Senate that has supported many of Texas' existing restrictions.

Changes to healthcare spending, Medicaid eligibility or statutory abortion rules will depend on legislation, applicable federal law and, in some disputes, judicial review.

Energy, land and water will involve several different agencies.

Rosenthal can advocate for stronger oil-and-gas enforcement. Flores can influence state land management and disaster-recovery programs. Tucker can pursue agricultural priorities.

But no single official controls the electric grid, all energy development or statewide land-use decisions.

Those issues will require coordination among agencies, regulators, local governments and the Legislature.

The courts will have the final word in many legal disputes.

A closer partisan balance on the Supreme Court and Court of Criminal Appeals could affect deliberations, interpretations and judicial opinions.

The change in control at the 15th Court of Appeals could be particularly important in cases involving state government.

But election results do not automatically overturn earlier decisions.

Courts act through cases, legal arguments and established procedures, not through campaign platforms.

A Different Government, an Unfinished Story

The November election changed who will govern Texas.

It did not settle how they will govern.

Democrats have gained the governor's office, the lieutenant governor's office, control of the Texas House and several influential statewide agencies. They have also broken the Republican monopoly on the state's highest courts.

Republicans retain the Senate and majorities on both courts of last resort.

Some incoming officials will possess broad authority to change their agencies' direction. Others will depend on fellow commissioners, legislators or judges to act.

Campaigns often describe elections as choices between competing visions of the future.

Governing requires something more difficult: turning those visions into decisions that survive the limits of law, money, institutions and disagreement.

For Texans, the next important dates will not simply be inaugurations.

They will be the election of a House speaker, the adoption of Senate rules, the first major budget negotiations, the appointments made by the new governor and the first consequential opinions issued by the newly constituted courts.

Those moments will tell us more about the practical effects of November 3 than election-night speeches alone.

Texas voted for change.

Now its new leaders must determine what they can change, what will require compromise and what the law will not permit them to do alone.

The election decided who gets a seat at the table.

The next legislative session will decide what they do with it.

Reporting and methodology: This analysis is based on the Texas Secretary of State's unofficial November 3, 2026 general-election returns, updated November 4, and contemporary reporting about the candidates' experience, campaign proposals and responsibilities. The Texas House seat projection remains subject to outstanding vote-counting and canvass changes. Judicial winners are identified from reported statewide leads, not final certification. Campaign promises are distinguished from authority granted by existing law.